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Persistent Anomalies, Blocking and Variations in Atmospheric Predictability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: We consider regimes of low-frequency variability in large-scale atmospheric dynamics. The model used for the study of these regimes is the fully-nonlinear, equivalent-barotropic vorticity equation on the sphere, with ...
Interdecadal Variability in a Hybrid Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere–Sea Ice Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Interdecadal climate variability in an idealized coupled ocean?atmosphere?sea-ice model is studied. The ocean component is a fully three-dimensional primitive equation model and the atmospheric component is a two-dimensional ...
Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Extratropics: Hopf Bifurcation and Topographic Instabilities
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A potential vorticity model in a ?-channel is used to analyze the resonant response of equivalent-barotropic flow to topography in the presence of a forced zonal jet with arbitrary meridional structure. The nonlinear ...
Nonlinear Symmetric Instability and Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Tropical Atmosphere
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Symmetric inertial instability (SII) is studied here as a mechanism for stratospheric and tropospheric phenomena in the equatorial regions. We investigate the linear and nonlinear dynamics of SII in a two-layer, zonally ...
Interdecadal Changes in Atmospheric Low-Frequency Variability with and without Boundary Forcing
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The response of the Max Planck Institute?s ECHAM3 atmospheric general circulation model to a prescribed decade-long positive anomaly in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the North Atlantic is investigated. Two 10-yr ...
Empirical Mode Reduction in a Model of Extratropical Low-Frequency Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper constructs and analyzes a reduced nonlinear stochastic model of extratropical low-frequency variability. To do so, it applies multilevel quadratic regression to the output of a long simulation of a global ...
The Effect of Model Resolution and Satellite Sounding Data on GLAS Model Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An experiment was performed to study the effect of increased model resolution on satellite sounding data impact. Assimilation cycles were carried out with data from 0000 GMT 29 January to 0300 GMT 21 February 1976, using ...
Time-Continuous Assimilation of Remote-Sounding Data and Its Effect an Weather Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Methods are derived for the time-continuous four-dimensional assimilation of satellite sounding temperatures. The methods presented include time-continuous versions of direct insertion, successive correction and statistical ...
Bimodal Behavior in the Zonal Mean Flow of a Baroclinic β-Channel Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The dynamical origin of midlatitude zonal-jet variability is examined in a thermally forced, quasigeostrophic, two-layer channel model on a ? plane. The model?s behavior is studied as a function of the bottom-friction ...
Multiple Regimes and Low-Frequency Oscillations in the Northern Hemisphere’s Zonal-Mean Flow
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper studies multiple regimes and low-frequency oscillations in the Northern Hemisphere zonal-mean zonal flow in winter, using 55 yr of daily observational data. The probability density function estimated in the phase ...