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Medium-Range Forecasting for the Number of Daily Forest Fires
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In an earlier work, the authors introduced an objective forecast model for a 24-h prediction of the number of daily forest fires based on a 2-day lag autoregressive model. The meteorological inputs required for this model ...
An Objective Forecasting Model for the Daily Outbreak of Forest Fires Based on Meteorological Considerations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Daily fire risk (DFR) is a forecasting index defined on the basis of two meteorological parameters. Such parameters are associated with the local atmospheric column: dry stability e in 850?700-hPa layer and saturation ...