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The Influence of Periodic Forcing on the Time Dependence of Western Boundary Currents: Phase Locking, Chaos, and Mechanisms of Low-Frequency Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this study an idealized gyre is put into a temporally periodic state by a steady wind stress curl forcing, and its nonlinear response to variable forcing is investigated by a detailed parameter survey varying the time-mean ...
Internal Modes of Multidecadal Variability in the Arctic Ocean
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Observations of sea ice extent and atmospheric temperature in the Arctic, although sparse, indicate variability on multidecadal time scales. A recent analysis of one of the global climate models [the Geophysical Fluid ...
North Atlantic Multidecadal Climate Variability: An Investigation of Dominant Time Scales and Processes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The issue of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic has been an important topic of late. It is clear that there are multidecadal variations in several climate variables in the North Atlantic, such as sea surface ...
Noise-Induced Multidecadal Variability in the North Atlantic: Excitation of Normal Modes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this paper it is proposed that the stochastic excitation of a multidecadal internal ocean mode is at the origin of the multidecadal sea surface temperature variability in the North Atlantic. The excitation processes of ...
Separating Internal Variability from the Externally Forced Climate Response
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: eparating low-frequency internal variability of the climate system from the forced signal is essential to better understand anthropogenic climate change as well as internal climate variability. Here both synthetic time ...
On the Choice of Ensemble Mean for Estimating the Forced Signal in the Presence of Internal Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractIn this paper we examine various options for the calculation of the forced signal in climate model simulations, and the impact these choices have on the estimates of internal variability. We find that an ensemble ...
Comparison of Low-Frequency Internal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Models and Observations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractLow-frequency internal climate variability (ICV) plays an important role in modulating global surface temperature, regional climate, and climate extremes. However, it has not been completely characterized in the ...
Reply to “Comment on ‘Comparison of Low-Frequency Internal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Models and Observations’”
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractIn a comment on a 2017 paper by Cheung et al., Kravtsov states that the results of Cheung et al. are invalidated by errors in the method used to estimate internal variability in historical surface temperatures, ...