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RISBeyond the Basics: Evaluating Model-Based Precipitation Forecasts Using Traditional, Spatial, and Object-Based Methods
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hile traditional verification methods are commonly used to assess numerical model quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) using a grid-to-grid approach, they generally offer little diagnostic information or reasoning ...
Testing the Tests: What Are the Impacts of Incorrect Assumptions When Applying Confidence Intervals or Hypothesis Tests to Compare Competing Forecasts?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractWhich of two competing continuous forecasts is better? This question is often asked in forecast verification, as well as climate model evaluation. Traditional statistical tests seem to be well suited to the task ...
The Developmental Testbed Center and its Winter Forecasting Experiment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) was formed to promote exchanges between the development and operational communities in the field of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). The WRF ...
Multiyear Droughts and Pluvials over the Upper Colorado River Basin and Associated Circulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study analyzes spatial and temporal characteristics of multiyear droughts and pluvials over the southwestern United States with a focus on the upper Colorado River basin. The study uses two multiscalar moisture indices: ...
The Model Evaluation Tools (MET): More than a decade of community-supported forecast verification
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: MET is a community-based package of state-of-the-art tools to evaluate predictions of weather, climate, and other phenomena, with capabilities to display and analyze verification results via the METplus system.Forecast ...