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Improved Skill of Northern Hemisphere Winter Surface Temperature Predictions Based on Land–Atmosphere Fall Anomalies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A statistical forecast model, referred to as the snow-cast (sCast) model, has been developed using observed October mean snow cover and sea level pressure anomalies to predict upcoming winter land surface temperatures for ...
The Dynamical Influence of Separate Teleconnections from the Pacific and Indian Oceans on the Northern Annular Mode
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he northern annular mode (NAM) influences wintertime climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere, and understanding the processes controlling its sign and amplitude is of critical importance. Mounting evidence supports ...
Winter North Atlantic Oscillation Hindcast Skill: 1900–2001
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Recent proposed seasonal hindcast skill estimates for the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are derived from different lagged predictors, NAO indices, skill assessment periods, and skill validation methodologies. ...
The Role of Linear Interference in the Annular Mode Response to Tropical SST Forcing
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Recent observational and modeling studies have demonstrated a link between eastern tropical Pacific Ocean (TPO) warming associated with the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the negative phase of the wintertime ...
Declining Geoengineering Efficacy Caused by Cloud Feedbacks in Transient Solar Dimming Experiments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Development of a Full-Scale Connected U-Net for Reflectivity Inpainting in Spaceborne Radar Blind Zones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
The Role of Linear Interference in the Annular Mode Response to Extratropical Surface Forcing
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The classical problem of predicting the atmospheric circulation response to extratropical surface forcing is revisited in the context of the observed connection between autumnal snow cover anomalies over Siberia and ...
Projected Changes in Mid-Twenty-First-Century Extreme Maximum Pavement Temperature in Canada
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: uture climate warming is virtually certain to bring about an increase in the frequency of heat extremes. Highway design and pavement selection are based on a temperature regime that reflects the local climate zone. Increasing ...
The Dynamical Response to Snow Cover Perturbations in a Large Ensemble of Atmospheric GCM Integrations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Variability in the extent of fall season snow cover over the Eurasian sector has been linked in observations to a teleconnection with the winter northern annular mode pattern. Here, the dynamics of this teleconnection are ...
Diagnosing the Impacts of Northern Hemisphere Surface Albedo Biases on Simulated Climate
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractMany Earth system models contain substantial biases in the magnitude and seasonal cycle of the albedo of snow-covered surfaces. Various structural and parametric deficiencies have been identified as potential causes ...