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Understanding and Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change with the Typhoon Intensity Prediction Scheme (TIPS)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A multiple regression scheme with tropical cyclone intensity change as the dependent variable has been developed. The new scheme is titled the Typhoon Intensity Prediction Scheme (TIPS) and is similar to one used operationally ...
The Impact of Multisatellite Data on the Initialization and Simulation of Hurricane Lili’s (2002) Rapid Weakening Phase
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Numerical experiments have been conducted to examine the impact of multisatellite data on the initialization and forecast of the rapid weakening of Hurricane Lili (in 2002) from 0000 UTC to landfall in Louisiana on 1300 ...
Experiments of Hurricane Initialization with Airborne Doppler Radar Data for the Advanced Research Hurricane WRF (AHW) Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Initialization of the hurricane vortex in weather prediction models is vital to intensity forecasts out to at least 48 h. Airborne Doppler radar (ADR) data have sufficiently high horizontal and vertical resolution to resolve ...
CORRIGENDUM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Documentation of a Systematic Bias in the Aviation Model's Forecast of the Atlantic Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Trough: Implications for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study uncovers what appears to be a systematic bias in the National Meteorological Center's aviation (AVN) model at 200 mb over the Caribbean Sea. In general, the 48-h forecast in the vicinity of the Tropical Upper ...
Summertime Precipitation Regimes Associated with the Sea Breeze and Land Breeze in Southern Mississippi and Eastern Louisiana
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study assesses the monthly climatology of the timing and placement of convective precipitation events induced by sea and land breezes in the Louisiana?Mississippi?Alabama region, and determines possible reasons for ...
The Formation of Multiple Squall Lines and the Impacts of WSR-88D Radial Winds in a WRF Simulation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A detailed observational and Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model analysis utilizing Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D), surface, and upper-air observations, as well as Geostationary Operational ...
Simple Diagnosis of Tropical Cyclone Structure via Pressure Gradients
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n 1980 the Holland tropical cyclone (TC) wind profile model was introduced. This simple model was originally intended to estimate the wind profile based on limited surface pressure information alone. For this reason and ...
The Science of William M. Gray: His Contributions to the Knowledge of Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ofessor William M. Gray?s contributions to both tropical meteorology and tropical cyclones in over 50+ years of research are documented. Gray also was a scientific father of a generation of scientists with over 50 Masters ...