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Documentation of a Systematic Bias in the Aviation Model's Forecast of the Atlantic Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Trough: Implications for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study uncovers what appears to be a systematic bias in the National Meteorological Center's aviation (AVN) model at 200 mb over the Caribbean Sea. In general, the 48-h forecast in the vicinity of the Tropical Upper ...