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A Statistical–Dynamical Estimate of Winter ENSO Teleconnections in a Future Climate
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Changes in the atmospheric response to SST variability in the decade 2065?75 are estimated from time-slice-like experiments using the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model, version 3 (CAM3) AGCM forced by specified SST and ...
Low Skill in Dynamical Prediction of Boreal Summer Climate: Grounds for Looking beyond Sea Surface Temperature
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Ensemble integrations of three general circulation models (Center for Ocean?Land?Atmosphere Studies, NCAR, and NCEP) have been performed over five different boreal summer seasons (June through September of 1986?88 and ...
Low-Level Jets and Their Effects on the South American Summer Climate as Simulated by the NCEP Eta Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Eta Model (80 km, 38L) is used to simulate the tropical South American summer (January?March) climate for 1983, 1985, 1987, 1989, and 1991 using lateral boundary ...
Differing Estimates of Observed Bangladesh Summer Rainfall
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The differences in boreal summer (June?August) monthly-mean rainfall estimates over the Indian Ocean region in five research-quality products are examined for the period 1979?2003. Two products derived from the merged ...
Model Estimates of Land-Driven Predictability in a Changing Climate from CCSM4
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he climate system model of the National Center for Atmospheric Research is used to examine the predictability arising from the land surface initialization of seasonal climate ensemble forecasts in current, preindustrial, ...