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RISA New Generic Method for Quantifying the Scale Predictability of the Fractal Atmosphere: Applications to Model Verification
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he authors revisit the issue regarding the predictability of a flow that possesses many scales of motion raised by Lorenz in 1969 and apply the general systems theory developed by Selvam in 1990 to error diagnostics and ...
Improving Ensemble-Based Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts for Topography-Enhanced Typhoon Heavy Rainfall over Taiwan with a Modified Probability-Matching Technique
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this paper, a modified probability-matching technique is developed for ensemble-based quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) associated with landfalling typhoons over Taiwan. The main features of this technique ...
The Impacts of Taiwan Topography on the Predictability of Typhoon Morakot’s Record-Breaking Rainfall: A High-Resolution Ensemble Simulation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this study, the impacts of Taiwan topography on the extreme rainfall of Typhoon Morakot and the predictability of this rainfall are examined with a high-resolution (4 km) ensemble simulation using the Advanced Research ...