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Damages Associated with Excessive Rainfall Outlooks (ERO) and Missed Flash Floods

Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2023:;volume( 038 ):;issue: 006:;page 971

Author(s): Williamson, Meirah; Ash, Kevin; Erickson, Michael J.; Mullens, Esther

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

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Development of a Fire Weather Index Using Meteorological Observations within the Northeast United States

Source: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology:;2015:;volume( 055 ):;issue: 002:;page 389

Author(s): Erickson, Michael J.; Charney, Joseph J.; Colle, Brian A.

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

Abstract: fire weather index (FWI) is developed using wildfire occurrence data and Automated Surface Observing System weather observations within a subregion of the northeastern United States (NEUS) from 1999 to 2008. Average values ...

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Impact of Bias-Correction Type and Conditional Training on Bayesian Model Averaging over the Northeast United States

Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2012:;volume( 027 ):;issue: 006:;page 1449

Author(s): Erickson, Michael J.; Colle, Brian A.; Charney, Joseph J.

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

Abstract: he performance of a multimodel ensemble over the northeast United States is evaluated before and after applying bias correction and Bayesian model averaging (BMA). The 13-member Stony Brook University (SBU) ensemble at ...

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Verifying and Redefining the Weather Prediction Center’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook Forecast Product

Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2021:;volume( 036 ):;issue: 001:;page 325

Author(s): Erickson, Michael J.;Albright, Benjamin;Nelson, James A.

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

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Evaluation and Postprocessing of Ensemble Fire Weather Predictions over the Northeast United States

Source: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology:;2018:;volume 057:;issue 005:;page 1135

Author(s): Erickson, Michael J.; Colle, Brian A.; Charney, Joseph J.

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

Abstract: AbstractThe Short-Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) system is verified and bias corrected for fire weather days (FWDs) defined as having an elevated probability of wildfire occurrence using a statistical Fire Weather Index ...

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Objective Verification of the Weather Prediction Center’s Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions

Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2024:;volume( 039 ):;issue: 006:;page 915

Author(s): Bower, Erica; Erickson, Michael J.; Nelson, James A.; Klein, Mark; Orrison, Andrew

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

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The Excessive Rainfall Outlook at the Weather Prediction Center: Operational Definition, Construction, and Real-Time Collaboration

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;2023:;volume( 104 ):;issue: 003:;page E542

Author(s): Burke, Patrick C.; Lamers, Alex; Carbin, Gregory; Erickson, Michael J.; Klein, Mark; Chenard, Marc; McNatt, Jennifer; Wood, Lance

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

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From Random Forests to Flood Forecasts: A Research to Operations Success Story

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;2021:;volume( 102 ):;issue: 009

Author(s): Schumacher, Russ S.;Hill, Aaron J.;Klein, Mark;Nelson, James A.;Erickson, Michael J.;Trojniak, Sarah M.;Herman, Gregory R.

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

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The Excessive Rainfall Outlook at the Weather Prediction Center: Operational Definition, Construction, and Real-Time Collaboration

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;2023:;volume( 104 ):;issue: 003

Author(s): Burke, Patrick C.; Lamers, Alex; Carbin, Gregory; Erickson, Michael J.; Klein, Mark; Chenard, Marc; McNatt, Jennifer; Wood, Lance

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

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Innovations in Winter Storm Forecasting and Decision Support Services

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;2023:;volume( 104 ):;issue: 003

Author(s): Novak, David R.; Perfater, Sarah E.; Demuth, Julie L.; Bieda, Stephen W.; Carbin, Gregory; Craven, Jeffrey; Erickson, Michael J.; Jeglum, Matthew E.; Kastman, Joshua; Nelson, James A.; Rudack, David E.; Staudenmaier, Michael J.; Waldstreicher, Jeff S.

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

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Damages Associated with Excessive Rainfall Outlooks (ERO) and Missed Flash Floods

Development of a Fire Weather Index Using Meteorological Observations within the Northeast United States

Impact of Bias-Correction Type and Conditional Training on Bayesian Model Averaging over the Northeast United States

Verifying and Redefining the Weather Prediction Center’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook Forecast Product

Evaluation and Postprocessing of Ensemble Fire Weather Predictions over the Northeast United States

Objective Verification of the Weather Prediction Center’s Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions

The Excessive Rainfall Outlook at the Weather Prediction Center: Operational Definition, Construction, and Real-Time Collaboration

From Random Forests to Flood Forecasts: A Research to Operations Success Story

The Excessive Rainfall Outlook at the Weather Prediction Center: Operational Definition, Construction, and Real-Time Collaboration

Innovations in Winter Storm Forecasting and Decision Support Services

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Damages Associated with Excessive Rainfall Outlooks (ERO) and Missed Flash Floods

Development of a Fire Weather Index Using Meteorological Observations within the Northeast United States

Impact of Bias-Correction Type and Conditional Training on Bayesian Model Averaging over the Northeast United States

Verifying and Redefining the Weather Prediction Center’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook Forecast Product

Evaluation and Postprocessing of Ensemble Fire Weather Predictions over the Northeast United States

Objective Verification of the Weather Prediction Center’s Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions

The Excessive Rainfall Outlook at the Weather Prediction Center: Operational Definition, Construction, and Real-Time Collaboration

From Random Forests to Flood Forecasts: A Research to Operations Success Story

The Excessive Rainfall Outlook at the Weather Prediction Center: Operational Definition, Construction, and Real-Time Collaboration

Innovations in Winter Storm Forecasting and Decision Support Services