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RISAn Efficient Ensemble Technique for Hydrologic Forecasting Driven by Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Damages Associated with Excessive Rainfall Outlooks (ERO) and Missed Flash Floods
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Development of a Fire Weather Index Using Meteorological Observations within the Northeast United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: fire weather index (FWI) is developed using wildfire occurrence data and Automated Surface Observing System weather observations within a subregion of the northeastern United States (NEUS) from 1999 to 2008. Average values ...
Consideration-Constrained Engineering Design for Strategic Insights
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: Consumer behavior can be modeled using a decision-making process termed “consideration” in which consumers form requirements, “consideration rules,” in order to narrow their options for further evaluation. One type of ...
Impact of Bias-Correction Type and Conditional Training on Bayesian Model Averaging over the Northeast United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he performance of a multimodel ensemble over the northeast United States is evaluated before and after applying bias correction and Bayesian model averaging (BMA). The 13-member Stony Brook University (SBU) ensemble at ...
Verifying and Redefining the Weather Prediction Center’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook Forecast Product
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Evaluation and Postprocessing of Ensemble Fire Weather Predictions over the Northeast United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe Short-Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) system is verified and bias corrected for fire weather days (FWDs) defined as having an elevated probability of wildfire occurrence using a statistical Fire Weather Index ...
An Efficient Ensemble Technique for Hydrologic Forecasting Driven by Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Objective Verification of the Weather Prediction Center’s Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
The Excessive Rainfall Outlook at the Weather Prediction Center: Operational Definition, Construction, and Real-Time Collaboration
Publisher: American Meteorological Society