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Operational Consensus Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The objective consensus forecasting (OCF) system is an automated operational forecasting system that adapts to underlying numerical model upgrades within 30 days and generally outperforms direct model output (DMO) and model ...
Performance of Hourly Operational Consensus Forecasts (OCFs) in the Australian Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper presents an extension of the operational consensus forecast (OCF) method, which performs a statistical correction of model output at sites followed by weighted average consensus on a daily basis. Numerical weather ...
Gridded Operational Consensus Forecasts of 2-m Temperature over Australia
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his paper describes an extension of an operational consensus forecasting (OCF) scheme from site forecasts to gridded forecasts. OCF is a multimodel consensus scheme including bias correction and weighting. Bias correction ...