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Regional Precipitation Trends: Distinguishing Natural Variability from Anthropogenic Forcing
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, the nature and causes for observed regional precipitation trends during 1977?2006 are diagnosed. It is found that major features of regional trends in annual precipitation during 1977?2006 are consistent ...
Decreasing Reliability and Increasing Synchroneity of Western North American Streamflow
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Assessing climate-related societal vulnerability and mitigating impacts requires timely diagnosis of the nature of regional hydrologic change. A late-twentieth-century emergent trend is discovered toward increasing ...
Homogeneity of Gridded Precipitation Datasets for the Colorado River Basin
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Inhomogeneity in gridded meteorological data may arise from the inclusion of inhomogeneous station data or from aspects of the gridding procedure itself. However, the homogeneity of gridded datasets is rarely questioned, ...
Physical Understanding of Human-Induced Changes in U.S. Hot Droughts Using Equilibrium Climate Simulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractAlthough the link between droughts and heat waves is widely recognized, how climate change affects this link remains uncertain. Here we assess how, and by how much, human-induced climate change affects summertime ...
What History Tells Us about 2015 U.S. Daily Rainfall Extremes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Detection and Attribution of Twentieth-Century Northern and Southern African Rainfall Change
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The spatial patterns, time history, and seasonality of African rainfall trends since 1950 are found to be deducible from the atmosphere?s response to the known variations of global sea surface temperatures (SSTs). The ...
Was the January 2016 Mid-Atlantic Snowstorm “Jonas” Symptomatic of Climate Change?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Interannual Variability of the Onset of the Indian Summer Monsoon and Its Association with Atmospheric Features, El Niño, and Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The long-term mean date of the monsoon onset over Kerala (MOK) varies between 30 May and 2 June according to different estimates, with a standard deviation of 8?9 days. The earliest date of MOK, and the most delayed one, ...
Diagnosing Human-Induced Dynamic and Thermodynamic Drivers of Extreme Rainfall
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractFactors responsible for extreme monthly rainfall over Texas and Oklahoma during May 2015 are assessed. The event had a return period of at least 400 years, in contrast to the prior record, which was roughly a 100-yr ...
Reconciling Theories for Human and Natural Attribution of Recent East Africa Drying
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractTwo theories for observed East Africa drying trends during March?May 1979?2013 are reconciled. Both hypothesize that variations in tropical sea surface temperatures (SSTs) caused East Africa drying. The first invokes ...