Abstract: raditional pixel-versus-pixel forecast evaluation scores such as the critical success index (CSI) provide a simple way to compare the performances of different forecasts; however, they offer little information on how to ...

Abstract: A self-teaming algorithm called goal-orientedpattern detection was used to develop a set of 12 models designed to forecast 24-h precipitation amounts for eight sites in southern Germany. The forecasts of expected precipitation ...

Abstract: bservations can be used to enhance mesoscale model forecasts by both improving the initial conditions and adjusting the model state toward the observations during its forward integration. Since observations are not available ...