Abstract: The time consistency of three tropical cyclone track prediction aids available at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), Guam is examined by comparison of successive cross-track and along-track errors relative to the ...

Abstract: The ability of three objective tropical cyclone track prediction aids and of the official forecast to indicate that recurvature will occur within 72 h is evaluated. Recurvature is defined as the change of direction from ...

Abstract: The lagged-average technique of combining a set of forecasts verifying at the same time is applied to tropical cyclone track prediction. Only a 3% improvement is achieved when the 24-b one-way tropical cyclone model (OTCM) ...

Abstract: A special set of radar wind profiler observations during the Tropical Cyclone Motion (TCM-90) field experiment is used to relate lower-tropospheric winds to surface sustained winds and gusts on the west coast of Okinawa. ...

Abstract: An empirical orthogonal function (EOF) representation of relative vorticity is used to forecast recurvature (change in storm heading from west through north to cast of 360°) of western North Pacific tropical cyclones. A ...

Abstract: Explosive cyclogenesis during the winter of the First Global GARP Experiment (January?February 1979) is analyzed using the revised European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) analyses. Explosive cyclogenesis ...