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Reconstructing the Past Wind Stresses over the Tropical Pacific Ocean from 1875 to 1947
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An important step in understanding the climate system is simulating and studying the past climate variability, using oceanic models, atmospheric models, or both. Toward this goal, long-term wind stress data, as the forcing ...
Bred Vector and ENSO Predictability in a Hybrid Coupled Model during the Period 1881–2000
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, a breeding analysis was conducted for a hybrid coupled El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) model that assimilated a historic dataset of sea surface temperature (SST) for the 120 yr between 1881 and 2000. ...
Interdecadal Variation of ENSO Predictability in Multiple Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) retrospective forecasts were performed for the 120 yr from 1881 to 2000 using three realistic models that assimilate the historic dataset of sea surface temperature (SST). ...
Ensemble Construction and Verification of the Probabilistic ENSO Prediction in the LDEO5 Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) retrospective ensemble-based probabilistic predictions were performed for the period of 1856?2003 using the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, version 5 (LDEO5), model. To obtain more ...
Improved ENSO Prediction by Singular Vector Analysis in a Hybrid Coupled Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, a method based on singular vector analysis is proposed to improve El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictions. Its essential idea is that the initial errors are projected onto their optimal growth patterns, ...
Reduced-Rank Sigma-Point Kalman Filter and Its Application in ENSO Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he huge computational expense has been a main challenge while applying the sigma-point unscented Kalman filter (SPUKF) to a high-dimensional system. This study focuses on this issue and presents two methods to construct a ...
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