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RISThe Use of Time Series Analysis Techniques in Forecasting Meteorological Drought
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Using an exponential smoothing procedure and an autoregressive-moving average process; forecasts for the monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index were calculated. The autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions of ...
The Morning Inversion Near the Ground and Its Daytime Transition at Two Rural Sites in the Carolinas
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Six years of tower data from two dissimilar sites in the eastern piedmont of the Carolinas are analyzed to yield a selective climatology of the lower portion of the morning inversion. Its transition to daytime conditions ...
Spectral Analysis of Station Pressure as an Indicator of Climatological Variations in Synoptic-Scale Activity in the Eastern United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A substantial decline in North American cyclone and anticyclone activity has been documented by several recent studies based on counts of disturbance tracks. An independent method of assessing long-term trends in synoptic-scale ...
observations of Mesocale Wave Disturbances during the Genesis of Atlantic Lows Experiment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Portable Automated Mesonet (PAM) data obtained during the Genesis of Atlantic Lows Fxperiment (GALE) are used to document mesoscale wave activity during the 3-day period from 4 to 6 February 1986. From the surface ...
An Automated Classification Scheme Designed to Better Elucidate the Dependence of Ozone on Meteorology
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper utilizes a two-stage (average linkage then convergent k means) clustering approach as part of an automated meteorological classification scheme designed to better elucidate the dependence of ozone on meteorology. ...
The Use of Polar-orbiting Satellite Sounding Data to Estimate Rural Maximum and Minimum Temperatures
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Atmospheric sounding products from NOAA's polar-orbiting satellites were used to derive and test predictive equations of rural shelter-level maximum and minimum temperatures. Sounding data from both winter and summer months ...
Estimating the Urban Bias of Surface Shelter Temperatures Using Upper-Air and Satellite Data. Part II: Estimation of the Urban Bias
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A methodology is presented for estimating the urban bias of surface shelter temperatures due to the effect of the urban heat island. Multiple regression techniques were used to predict surface shelter temperatures based ...
Estimating the Urban Bias of Surface Shelter Temperatures Using Upper-Air and Satellite Data. Part I: Development of Models Predicting Surface Shelter Temperatures
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Multiple regression techniques were used to predict surface shelter temperatures based on the time period 1986?89 using upper-air data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts to represent the background ...
Estimating Urban Temperature Bias Using Polar-Orbiting Satellite Data
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Urban temperature bias, defined to be the difference between a shelter temperature reading of unknown but suspected urban influence and some appropriate rural reference temperature, is estimated through the use of ...