Abstract: We have shown that it is possible to predict the skill of numerical weather forecasts?a quantity which is variable from day to day and region to region. This has been accomplished using as predictor the dispersion (measured ...

Abstract: In this work we report the application of the lagged average forecasting (LAF) technique to operational forecasts of the ECMWF. The ECMWF data consist of two 100-day samples of 10-day forecasts of 500 mb geopotential height ...

Abstract: This paper describes the operation and calibration of the simple biosphere model (SiB) of Sellers et al. using micrometeorological and hydrological measurements taken in and above tropical forest in the central Amazon ...