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Sensitivity of Verification Scores to the Classification of the Predictand
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In the practice of forecast verification, the results of applying scoring rules appear to depend on the way the predictand is classified. This paper contains an examination of the sensitivity of six scoring rules to the ...
Impacts of Feedback and Experience on the Quality of Subjective Probability Forecasts. Comparison of Results from the First and Second Years of the Zierikzee Experiment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Subjective probability forecasts of wind speed, visibility and precipitation events for six-hour periods have been prepared on an experimental basis by forecasters at Zierikzec in The Netherlands since October 1980. Results ...
Initial Selection of a GCOS Surface Network
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: To monitor the world's climate adequately, scientists need data from the ?best? climate stations exchanged internationally on a real-time basis. To make this vision a reality, a global surface reference climatological ...
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