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A Scaling for the Three-Dimensional Semigeostrophic Approximation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The three dimensional semigeostrophic equations are derived by a formal asymptotic analysis. The equations are scaled with typical values of the gradients across absolute momentum contours along isentropic surfaces and are ...
Physically Based Stochastic Perturbations (PSP) in the Boundary Layer to Represent Uncertainty in Convective Initiation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: tochastic perturbations allow for the representation of small-scale variability due to unresolved physical processes. However, the properties of this variability depend on model resolution and weather regime. A physically ...
GCM Tests of Theories for the Height of the Tropopause
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The sensitivity of the tropopause height to various external parameters has been investigated using a global circulation model (GCM). The tropopause height was found to be strongly sensitive to the temperature at the earth?s ...
Stratospheric Influence on Tropopause Height: The Radiative Constraint
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Earlier theoretical and modeling work introduced the concept of a radiative constraint relating tropopause height to tropospheric lapse rate and other factors such as surface temperature. Here a minimal quantitative model ...
Entrainment in Cumulus Clouds: What Resolution is Cloud-Resolving?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Systematic numerical experiments were conducted to determine the spatial resolution required to resolve a moist thermal show convergence at a scale proportional to the smaller of the initial thermal diameter D0 and a ...
A Displacement-Based Error Measure Applied in a Regional Ensemble Forecasting System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Errors in regional forecasts often take the form of phase errors, where a forecasted weather system is displaced in space or time. For such errors, a direct measure of the displacement is likely to be more valuable than ...
A Displacement and Amplitude Score Employing an Optical Flow Technique
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A field verification measure for precipitation forecasts is presented that combines distance and amplitude errors. It is based on an optical flow algorithm that defines a vector field that deforms, or morphs, one image to ...
The Impact of Data Assimilation Length Scales on Analysis and Prediction of Convective Storms
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n idealized convective test bed for the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) is set up to perform storm-scale data assimilation of simulated Doppler radar observations. Convective systems with lifetimes exceeding ...
Upscale Error Growth in a High-Resolution Simulation of a Summertime Weather Event over Europe
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he growth of small-amplitude, spatially uncorrelated perturbations has been studied in a weather forecast of a 4-day period in the summer of 2007, using a large domain covering Europe and the eastern Atlantic and with ...
Cumulus Convection and CISK in Midlatitudes. Part II: Comma-Cloud Formation in Cyclonic Shear Regions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Observational studies show that polar air stream cyclones form preferentially to the north of the polar front in regions of high vorticity and low static stability, although the baroclinicity may be stronger elsewhere. ...