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RISCirculation Regimes: Chaotic Variability versus SST-Forced Predictability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The circulation regimes in the Pacific?North American region are studied using the NCEP?NCAR reanalyses for the 18-winter period (1981/82?1998/99; NCEP18) and for the 54-winter period (1948/49?2001/02; NCEP54). The sampling ...
Predictability Experiments for the Asian Summer Monsoon: Impact of SST Anomalies on Interannual and Intraseasonal Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The effects of SST anomalies on the interannual and intraseasonal variability of the Asian summer monsoon have been studied by multivariate statistical analyses of 850-hPa wind and rainfall fields simulated in a set of ...
The Indian Ocean: The Region of Highest Skill Worldwide in Decadal Climate Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he Indian Ocean stands out as the region where the state-of-the-art decadal climate predictions of sea surface temperature (SST) perform the best worldwide for forecast times ranging from the second to the ninth year, ...
Impact of Stochastic Physics and Model Resolution on the Simulation of Tropical Cyclones in Climate GCMs
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Impact of Initial Conditions versus External Forcing in Decadal Climate Predictions: A Sensitivity Experiment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he impact of initial conditions relative to external forcings in decadal integrations from an ensemble of state-of-the-art prediction models has been assessed using specifically designed sensitivity experiments (SWAP ...
Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: r provides an update on research in the relatively new and fast-moving field of decadal climate prediction, and addresses the use of decadal climate predictions not only for potential users of such information but also for ...