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Physical Initialization and Hurricane Ensemble Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Ensemble forecasting of hurricane tracks is an emerging area in numerical weather prediction. In this paper, the spread of the ensemble of forecast tracks from a family of different First Global GARP (Global Atmospheric ...
Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Modeling of the El Niño of 1997–98
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study is based on a global coupled atmosphere?ocean model climate prediction that was designed to include 14 layers over the atmosphere and 17 layers within the ocean. In this model an 11-yr data assimilation includes ...
Real-Time Multianalysis–Multimodel Superensemble Forecasts of Precipitation Using TRMM and SSM/I Products
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper addresses real-time precipitation forecasts from a multianalysis?multimodel superensemble. The methodology for the construction of the superensemble forecasts follows previous recent publications on this topic. ...