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Verification of RUC 0–1-h Forecasts and SPC Mesoscale Analyses Using VORTEX2 Soundings
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study uses radiosonde observations obtained during the second phase of the Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment (VORTEX2) to verify base-state variables and severe-weather-related parameters ...
Using Radiosonde Observations to Assess the “Three Ingredients Method” to Forecast QLCS Mesovortices
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Interpreting the Climatology of Derechos
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Past studies have examined the climatology of derechos and suggest very different distributions of derechos within the United States. This uncertainty in the climatology of derechos is a concern for forecasters, since ...
Simulation of a Progressive Derecho Using Composite Initial Conditions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study focuses on the progressive derecho, a widespread, convectively induced windstorm produced by a mesoscale convective system that often occurs within a relatively benign synoptic-scale environment. Sounding data ...
SPC Mesoscale Analysis Compared to Field-Project Soundings: Implications for Supercell Environment Studies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Insights into Supercells and Their Environments from Three Decades of Targeted Radiosonde Observations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Discrimination of Mature and Dissipating Severe-Wind-Producing MCSs with Layer-Lifting Indices
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe environmental factors that drive the dissipation of linear severe-wind-producing mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are investigated. Layer-lifting indices are emphasized, which measure convective instability ...
Origins of Vorticity in a Simulated Tornadic Mesovortex Observed during PECAN on 6 July 2015
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: To better understand and forecast nocturnal thunderstorms and their hazards, an expansive network of fixed and mobile observing systems was deployed in the summer of 2015 for the Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN) ...
Effects of Upper-Level Shear on the Structure and Maintenance of Strong Quasi-Linear Mesoscale Convective Systems
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Recent observational studies have shown that strong midlatitude mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) tend to decay as they move into environments with less instability and smaller deep-layer vertical wind shear. These ...
Environmental Factors in the Upscale Growth and Longevity of MCSs Derived from Rapid Update Cycle Analyses
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Composite environments of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are produced from Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) analyses to explore the differences between rapidly and slowly developing MCSs as well as the differences ahead of ...