Abstract: Land-surface parameterizations based on a statistical-dynamical approach have been suggested recently to improve the representation of the surface forcing from heterogeneous land in atmospheric models. With this approach, ...

Abstract: PC requires the reforecast-calibrated Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) to support the production of their official 6?10- and 8?14-day temperature and precipitation forecasts. While a large sample size of forecast?observation ...

Abstract: A regression model was developed for use with ensemble forecasts. Ensemble members are assumed to represent a set of equally likely solutions, one of which will best fit the observation. If standard linear regression ...

Abstract: revious work has shown that the combined influence of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) significantly impacts the wintertime circulation over North America for lead times up to at ...

Abstract: Recent research demonstrates that dynamical models sometimes fail to represent observed teleconnection patterns associated with predictable modes of climate variability. As a result, model forecast skill may be reduced. ...