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Jumpiness in Ensemble Forecasts of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Verification of Heat Stress Thresholds for a Health-Based Heat-Wave Definition
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractHeat waves represent a threat to human health and excess mortality is one of the associated negative effects. A health-based definition for heat waves is therefore relevant, especially for early warning purposes, ...
The 2013/14 Thames Basin Floods: Do Improved Meteorological Forecasts Lead to More Skillful Hydrological Forecasts at Seasonal Time Scales?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe Thames basin experienced 12 major Atlantic depressions in winter 2013/14, leading to extensive and prolonged fluvial and groundwater flooding. This exceptional weather coincided with highly anomalous meteorological ...
Co-Design and Co-Production of Flood Forecast Products: Summary of a Hybrid Workshop
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Co-Design and Co-Production of Flood Forecast Products: Summary of a Hybrid Workshop
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
An Efficient Approach for Estimating Streamflow Forecast Skill Elasticity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: easonal streamflow prediction skill can derive from catchment initial hydrological conditions (IHCs) and from the future seasonal climate forecasts (SCFs) used to produce the hydrological forecasts. Although much effort ...
Reducing Inconsistencies in Point Observations of Maximum Flood Inundation Level
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: lood simulation models and hazard maps are only as good as the underlying data against which they are calibrated and tested. However, extreme flood events are by definition rare, so the observational data of flood inundation ...
How Well Do Operational Numerical Weather Prediction Configurations Represent Hydrology?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractLand surface models (LSMs) have traditionally been designed to focus on providing lower-boundary conditions to the atmosphere with less focus on hydrological processes. State-of-the-art application of LSMs includes ...
Challenges of Operational River Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: killful and timely streamflow forecasts are critically important to water managers and emergency protection services. To provide these forecasts, hydrologists must predict the behavior of complex coupled human?natural ...