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On the Simulation of Climate and Climate Change with General Circulation Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Increasing concern over possible anthropogenic impact on climate has led to an awareness that straightforward diagnostic procedures are necessary to measure climate and climate change in computer model experiments. Since ...
Estimates of First- and Second-Moment Climate Statistics in GCM Simulated Climate Ensembles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Traditionally the climate simulated by an atmospheric general circulation model (GCM) has been presented in terms of individual monthly or seasonal averages from a single realization. A more complete description of GCM ...
Interannual Variability and Seasonal Climate Predictability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A twenty-year integration of an atmospheric general circulation model with identically evolving prescribed surface boundary conditions each year is employed to provide a measure of the interannual variability obtainable ...
Animated Graphics in Meteorological Research and Presentations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: For the past two years, the authors have been involved in the production of computer-animated movies at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). The computer-generated frames are high-quality graphs of two- and ...
Statistical Significance Testing in Numerical Weather Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Experiments are often performed with numerical forecast models to determine the response to a changed model formulation, initial conditions or boundary conditions. Such experiments are inherently subject to sampling error ...
The Influence of Ocean Surface Temperature Gradient and Continentality on the Walker Circulation. Part II: Prescribed Global Changes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The mechanisms responsible for forcing the global Walker circulation are investigated with a series of experiments using an atmospheric model developed at the Goddard Institute for Space Studies. These experiments feature ...
The Influence of Ocean Surface Temperature Gradient and Continentality on the Walker Circulation. Part I: Prescribed Tropical Changes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A coarse-mesh, global climate model developed at the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) has been used to assess the influence of ocean surface temperature (OST) gradient and continentality on the Walker circulation. ...
Global Distribution of Vertically-Averaged Meridional Momentum Transport Statistics for January: A Comparison between Observations and General Circulation Model Simulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Vertically-averaged meridional transports of westerly momentum are analyzed in sampled ensembles of January simulations of an NCAR GCM and an equivalent ensemble of five years of observational January data according to a ...
Regional Climatic Effects of Large-Scale Thermal Pollution: Simulation Studies with the NCAR General Circulation Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: January and July experiments were performed with the NCAR general circulation model (GCM) to assess the potential climatic impact of the thermal energy released from a projected United States cast coast megalopolis circa ...
A Study of the Response of NCAR GCM Climatological Statistics to Random Perturbations: Estimating Noise Levels
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: General Circulation Models (GCM's) of the earth's atmosphere have been frequently used to test different mechanisms for climate change. Typically, these tests involve comparing the statistics of the model with a prescribed ...