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Short-Range (0–12 h) PQPFs from Time-Lagged Multimodel Ensembles Using LAPS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study pioneers the development of short-range (0?12 h) probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts (PQPFs) in Taiwan and aims to produce the PQPFs from time-lagged multimodel ensembles using the Local Analysis ...
Analysis of the Relative Operating Characteristic and Economic Value Using the LAPS Ensemble Prediction System in Taiwan
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: easurement of the usefulness of numerical weather prediction considers not only the forecast quality but also the possible economic value (EV) in the daily decision-making process of users. Discrimination ability of an ...
Nowcast Guidance of Afternoon Convection Initiation for Taiwan
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractFocusing on afternoon thunderstorms in Taiwan during the warm season (May?October) under weak synoptic forcing, this study applied the Taiwan Auto-NowCaster (TANC) to produce 1-h likelihood nowcasts of afternoon ...
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