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Projected Significant Increase in the Number of Extreme Extratropical Cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractExtratropical cyclones are responsible for much of the extreme weather in the midlatitudes; thus, how these cyclones may change under increasing greenhouse gas forcing is of much general interest. Previous studies ...
The Role of Wave Packets in Wave–Mean Flow Interactions during Southern Hemisphere Summer
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, reanalysis data produced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts for 14 Southern Hemisphere (SH) summer seasons have been analyzed. All cases of hemispheric transient eddy kinetic energy ...
Diabatic and Orographic Forcing of Northern Winter Stationary Waves and Storm Tracks
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, a dry global circulation model is used to examine the contributions made by orographic and diabatic forcings in shaping the zonal asymmetries in the earth?s Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter climate. By design, ...
Downstream Development of Baroclinic Waves As Inferred from Regression Analysis
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The structure and evolution of transient disturbances in the Northern Hemisphere winter season are examined using one-point regression maps and longitude-height sections derived from the European Centre for Medium-Range ...
The Influence of Hadley Circulation Intensity Changes on Extratropical Climate in an Idealized Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Experiments have been performed using a simple global model with idealized physics and zonally symmertrical forcings to investigate the influence of Hadley circulation intensity changes on extratropical climate. The heating ...
Mean Meridional Circulation Driven by Eddy Forcings of Different Timescales
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this paper, the mean meridional circulation (MMC) forced by eddy fluxes of heat and momentum is examined using a simple quasigeostrophic, two-level model of the zonal-mean atmosphere. Analytic solutions have been obtained, ...
An Idealized Nonlinear Model of the Northern Hemisphere Winter Storm Tracks
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this paper, a nonlinear dry model, forced by fixed radiative forcing alone, has been constructed to simulate the Northern Hemisphere winter storm tracks. A procedure has been devised to iterate the radiative equilibrium ...
GCM and Observational Diagnoses of the Seasonal and Interannual Variations of the Pacific Storm Track during the Cool Season
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Previous work has found that the Pacific storm track intensity during the cool season is negatively correlated with the upper-tropospheric jet strength. In the seasonal march, such a variation manifests itself as the ...
The Structure of Baroclinic Wave Packets
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this paper, the three-dimensional structure of baroclinic wave packets is studied using composites from ECMWF reanalysis data. Eddy variances and covariances associated with wave packets are examined in terms of the ...
CMIP5 Projection of Significant Reduction in Extratropical Cyclone Activity over North America
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rojections of storm-track changes over the continental United States and southern Canada made by 23 models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) have been compared to changes projected by 11 ...