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An Observational Study of the Physical Processes Responsible for Tropical Cyclone Motion
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper presents an observational study of the physics of tropical cyclone motion. Analyses of the vorticity budget using both aircraft and rawinsonde composite data were performed. As expected, the results show a ...
Identification of the Steering Flow for Tropical Cyclone Motion from Objectively Analyzed Wind Fields
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The flow patterns at various levels in the atmosphere around northwest Pacific tropical cyclones are studied using objectively-analyzed wind fields produced by the United States Navy. The results show large differences in ...
A Simple Seasonal Forecast Update of Tropical Cyclone Activity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A simple method based on the cumulative number of tropical cyclones (TCs) up to a given month in the early season is proposed to update the seasonal prediction of the annual number of TCs in a given ocean basin. For the ...
Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Northwest Pacific in Relation to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation Phenomenon
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The interannual variations in tropical cyclone activity in the northwest Pacific (NWPAC) and their relationships with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon were studied using the method of spectral analyses. ...
Supertyphoon Abby—An Example of Present Track Forecast Inadequacies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Supertyphoon Abby (1983), although not one of the most destructive on record, received a great deal of attention from the typhoon forecasters in Guam. For a large part of Abby's lifetime, nearly all objectively predicted ...
Performance of Global and Regional NWP Models in Their Prediction of Typhoon Nat (1991)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In 1991, Typhoon Nat over the western North Pacific made four directional reversals due to its interactions with two other tropical cyclones (TCs), Luke and Mireille. This paper analyzes the performance of three global and ...
Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific Associated with El Niño and La Niña Events
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper presents the results of an investigation on the variations of tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific (WNP) associated with both El Niño (EN) and La Niña (LN) events. The study is based on ...
Interdecadal Variability of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Tracks
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study examines the interdecadal variability of the tropical cyclone (TC) tracks over the western North Pacific (WNP) during the 1960?2005 period. An empirical orthogonal function analysis of the 10-yr Gaussian-filtered ...
Analytical and Numerical Studies of the Beta-Effect in Tropical Cyclone Motion. Part I: Zero Mean Flow
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The ?-effect on tropical cyclone motion is studied using an analytical as well as a numerical model in a nondivergent barotropic framework. The analytical model and the linear version of the numerical model give essentially ...