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RISAn Artificial Neural Network Approach to Multispectral Rainfall Estimation over Africa
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ultispectral Spinning Enhanced Visible and IR Interferometer (SEVIRI) data, calibrated with daily rain gauge estimates, were used to produce daily high-resolution rainfall estimates over Africa. An artificial neural network ...
Causes of the Uncertainty in Projections of Tropical Terrestrial Rainfall Change: East Africa
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractUnderstanding the causes of regional climate projection uncertainty is a critical component toward establishing reliability of these projections. Here, four complementary experimental and decomposition techniques ...
Spatial Patterns of Precipitation Change in CMIP5: Why the Rich Do Not Get Richer in the Tropics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hanges in the patterns of tropical precipitation (P) and circulation are analyzed in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) GCMs under the representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario. A robust ...
Understanding Uncertainties in Future Projections of Seasonal Tropical Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rojected changes in regional seasonal precipitation due to climate change are highly uncertain, with model disagreement on even the sign of change in many regions. Using a 20-member CMIP5 ensemble under the RCP8.5 scenario, ...
Land–Ocean Shifts in Tropical Precipitation Linked to Surface Temperature and Humidity Change
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractA compositing scheme that predicts changes in tropical precipitation under climate change from changes in near-surface relative humidity (RH) and temperature is presented. As shown by earlier work, regions of high ...
Future Changes to El Niño Teleconnections over the North Pacific and North America
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Future Precipitation Projections over Central and Southern Africa and the Adjacent Indian Ocean: What Causes the Changes and the Uncertainty?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractFuture projections of precipitation at regional scales are vital to inform climate change adaptation activities. Therefore, is it important to quantify projected changes and associated uncertainty, and understand ...
Atmospheric Dynamics is the Largest Source of Uncertainty in Future Winter European Rainfall
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe IPCC Fifth Assessment Report highlighted large uncertainty in European precipitation changes in the coming century. This paper investigates the sources of intermodel differences using CMIP5 model European ...
Diagnosing ENSO and Global Warming Tropical Precipitation Shifts Using Surface Relative Humidity and Temperature
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractLarge uncertainty remains in future projections of tropical precipitation change under global warming. A simplified method for diagnosing tropical precipitation change is tested here on present-day El Niño?Southern ...
The Role of Plant CO2 Physiological Forcing in Shaping Future Daily-Scale Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractContinued anthropogenic CO2 emissions are expected to drive widespread changes in precipitation characteristics. Nonetheless, projections of precipitation change vary considerably at the regional scale between ...