Search
Now showing items 1-10 of 20
Dynamical Processes of Block Evolution
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The dynamical processes associated with block evolution are investigated by analyzing a GCM run, forced with perpetual January conditions. The core of the analysis lies on the temporal evolution of the blocks and on vorticity ...
Observed Nonmodal Growth of the Pacific–North American Teleconnection Pattern
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A linear-stochastic model is applied to the 10-day low-pass streamfunction field at 300, 500, and 850 mb for 40 winter seasons of Northern Hemisphere NCEP?NCAR reanalysis data. The linear operator is derived from the ...
Predictable and Unpredictable Aspects of U.S. West Coast Rainfall and El Niño: Understanding the 2015/16 Event
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractCalifornia experienced record-setting drought from 2012 to 2017. Based on both seasonal forecast models and historical associations, there was widespread expectation that the major El Niño event of 2015/16 would ...
Assessment of Climatology and Predictability of Mid-Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Landfalls in a High-Atmospheric-Resolution Seasonal Prediction System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractTropical cyclone (TC) landfalls over the U.S. mid-Atlantic region, which include the so-called Sandy-like, or westward-curving, tracks, are among the most infrequent landfalls along the U.S. East Coast. However, ...
Predictable and Unpredictable Components of Cape Town Winter Rainfall
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Beyond Ensemble Averages: Leveraging Climate Model Ensembles for Subseasonal Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Links between Tropical Pacific SST and Cholera Incidence in Bangladesh: Role of the Eastern and Central Tropical Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Recent studies arising from both statistical analysis and dynamical disease models indicate that there is a link between incidence of cholera, a paradigmatic waterborne bacterial disease (WBD) endemic to Bangladesh, and ...
Links between Tropical Pacific SST and Cholera Incidence in Bangladesh: Role of the Western Tropical and Central Extratropical Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Recent studies arising from both statistical analysis and dynamical disease models demonstrate a link between the incidence of cholera, a paradigmatic waterborne bacterial illness endemic to Bangladesh, and the El Niño?Southern ...
Disentangling the Impact of ENSO and Indian Ocean Variability on the Regional Climate of Bangladesh: Implications for Cholera Risk
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Recent studies arising from both statistical analysis and dynamical disease models indicate that there is a link between the incidence of cholera, a paradigmatic waterborne bacterial illness endemic to Bangladesh, and the ...
The Structure and Composition of the Annular Modes in an Aquaplanet General Circulation Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The annular mode simulated by an atmospheric general circulation model with a zonally symmetric lower boundary is investigated. The annular mode, defined as the leading empirical orthogonal function (EOF) of the zonal-mean ...