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Accounting for Model Error in Variational Data Assimilation: A Deterministic Formulation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In data assimilation, observations are combined with the dynamics to get an estimate of the actual state of a natural system. The knowledge of the dynamics, under the form of a model, is unavoidably incomplete and model ...
Extending the Square Root Method to Account for Additive Forecast Noise in Ensemble Methods
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: square root approach is considered for the problem of accounting for model noise in the forecast step of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and related algorithms. The primary aim is to replace the method of simulated, ...
Linking the Anomaly Initialization Approach to the Mapping Paradigm: A Proof-of-Concept Study
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: easonal-to-decadal predictions are initialized using observations of the present climatic state in full field initialization (FFI). Such model integrations undergo a drift toward the model attractor due to model deficiencies ...
Comparison of Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter, 3DVAR, and 4DVAR in a Quasigeostrophic Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) data assimilation, three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR), and four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) schemes are implemented in a quasigeostrophic ...
A Review of Innovation-Based Methods to Jointly Estimate Model and Observation Error Covariance Matrices in Ensemble Data Assimilation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Assimilation of Sentinel-1 Backscatter into a Land Surface Model with River Routing and Its Impact on Streamflow Simulations in Two Belgian Catchments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Machine Learning for Earth System Observation and Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Scientific Challenges of Convective-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractAfter extensive efforts over the course of a decade, convective-scale weather forecasts with horizontal grid spacings of 1?5 km are now operational at national weather services around the world, accompanied by ...
Supermodeling: Improving Predictions with an Ensemble of Interacting Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society