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RISPredictability of a Coupled Model of ENSO Using Singular Vector Analysis. Part I: Optimal Growth in Seasonal Background and ENSO Cycles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The fastest initial error growth (optimal growth) in the Zebiak and Cane (ZC) forecast model for the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is analyzed by singular value decomposition of a forward tangent model along a ...
Surface Water Mixing in the Solomon Sea as Documented by a High-Resolution Coral 14C Record
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A bimonthly coral-based record of the postbomb radiocarbon content of Solomon Sea surface waters is interpreted to reflect mixing of subtropical surface water and that advected in from the east by the equatorial branch of ...
Forecasting Annual Discharge of River Murray, Australia, from a Geophysical Model of ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Annual discharge (Q) in the largest river system in Australia, the River Murray (including the extensive tributary network of the Darling River), is often inversely related to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the ...
The Recent Increase in North Atlantic Wave Heights
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The nature and causes of the recent increase in North Atlantic wave heights are explored by combining a numerical hindcast with a statistical analysis. The numerical hindcast incorporates a 10-yr history (1980?89) of North ...
Predictability of a Coupled Model of ENSO Using Singular Vector Analysis. Part II: Optimal Growth and Forecast Skill
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The fastest perturbation growth (optimal growth) in forecasts of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) with the Zebiak and Cane model is analyzed by singular value decomposition of forward tangent models along forecast ...