Search
Now showing items 1-9 of 9
Anomaly Correlation and an Alternative: Partial Correlation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The ?anomaly correlation? between a predicted time series and a verifying series, both of which have had the same climatic history subtracted, combines their ?direct? correlation with their two climate correlations and ...
Influence of the Madden–Julian Oscillation on Summertime Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Activity over the Continental United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Summertime cloud-to-ground lightning strikes are responsible for the majority of wildfire ignitions across vast sections of the seasonally dry western United States. In this study, a strong connection between active phases ...
The Use of t Values in Climatological Composite Analyses
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Criteria and Methods for Performing and Evaluating Solar-Weather Studies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Research criteria and methods are presented for performing and evaluating the growing discipline of solar-weather studies. A clear distinction among preliminary, exploratory, and confirmatory studies is presented, and it ...
Spot Weather Forecasts: Improving Utilization, Communication, and Perceptions of Accuracy in Sophisticated User Groups
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: pot weather forecasts (SWFs) are issued by Weather Service offices throughout the United States and are primarily for use by wildfire and prescribed fire practitioners for monitoring local-scale weather conditions. This ...
Wildfire Management and Forecasting Fire Potential: The Roles of Climate Information and Social Networks in the Southwest United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ontinuing progress in the fields of meteorology, climatology, and fire ecology has enabled more proactive and risk-tolerant wildland fire management practices in the United States. Recent institutional changes have also ...
Gulf of California Sea Surface Temperatures and the North American Monsoon: Mechanistic Implications from Observations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Perhaps the most regular and predictable weather pattern in North America is the North American (NA) or Mexican monsoon. Occurring in summer, it delivers about 35% and 45% of Arizona's and New Mexico's annual precipitation, ...
Statistics Education in the Atmospheric Sciences
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Analyses of atmospheric sciences data and models are heavily dependent upon statistical and probabilistic reasoning. Statistical methods have played an important role in establishing physical relationships of atmosphere-ocean-land ...
Toward Regional Climate Services: The Role of NOAA's Regional Climate Centers
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: For 25 yr, the Regional Climate Center (RCC) program has provided climate services to six regions encompassing the United States. The service provided by the RCCs has evolved through this time to become an efficient, ...