Abstract: The statistical theory of extreme values is applied to daily minimum and maximum temperature time series in the U.S. Midwest and Southeast. If the spatial pattern in the frequency of extreme temperature events can be ...

Abstract: Fire-weather forecasts (FWFs) prepared by National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters on an operational basis are traditionally expressed in categorical terms. However, to make rational and optimal use of such forecasts, ...

Abstract: The so-called fallowing/planting problem is an example of a decision-making situation that is potentially sensitive to meteorological information. In this problem, wheat farmers in the drier, western portions of the northern ...

Abstract: A general approach for modeling wind speed and wind power is described. Because wind power is a function of wind speed, the methodology is based on the development of a model of wind speed. Values of wind power are estimated ...

Abstract: A diagnostic approach to forecast verification is described and illustrated. This approach is based on a general framework for forecast verification. It is ?diagnostic? in the sense that it focuses on the fundamental ...

Abstract: The purpose of the Federal Aviation Administration?s Icing Forecasting Improvement Program is to conduct research on icing conditions both in flight and on the ground. This paper describes a portion of the in-flight aircraft ...

Abstract: Several spatial forecast verification methods have been developed that are suited for high-resolution precipitation forecasts. They can account for the spatial coherence of precipitation and give credit to a forecast that ...

Abstract: The use of a concept called a precipitation ?event? to obtain information regarding certain statistical properties of precipitation time series at a particular location and for a specific application (e.g., for modeling ...

Abstract: Recent research to improve forecasts of in-flight icing conditions has involved the development of algorithms to apply to the output of numerical weather prediction models. The abilities of several of these algorithms to ...

Abstract: An important focus of research in the forecast verification community is the development of alternative verification approaches for quantitative precipitation forecasts, as well as for other spatial forecasts. The need for ...