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Improved Spread–Error Relationship and Probabilistic Prediction from the CFS-Based Grand Ensemble Prediction System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study describes an attempt to overcome the underdispersive nature of single-model ensembles (SMEs). As an Indo?U.S. collaboration designed to improve the prediction capabilities of models over the Indian monsoon region, ...
Development and Evaluation of an Objective Criterion for the Real-Time Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon Onset in a Coupled Model Framework
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study reports an objective criterion for the real-time extended-range prediction of monsoon onset over Kerala (MOK), using circulation as well as rainfall information from the 16 May initial conditions of the Grand ...