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Nonlinear Agent-Based Dynamics: Which Metric Mitigates Polarization?
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: This article provides a stochastic agent-based model to exhibit the role of aggregation metrics in order to mitigate polarization in a complex society. Our sociophysics model is based on interacting and nonlinear Brownian ...
Nonlinear AgentBased Dynamics: Which Metric Mitigates Polarization?
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: This article provides a stochastic agentbased model to exhibit the role of aggregation metrics in order to mitigate polarization in a complex society. Our sociophysics model is based on interacting and nonlinear Brownian ...
On the Weighting of Multimodel Ensembles in Seasonal and Short-Range Weather Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The performance of multimodel ensemble forecasting depends on the weights given to the different models of the ensemble in the postprocessing of the direct model forecasts. This paper compares the following different ...
Generalization of the Ignorance Score: Continuous Ranked Version and Its Decomposition
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he Brier score (BS) and its generalizations to the multicategory ranked probability score (RPS) and to the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) are the prominent verification measures for probabilistic forecasts. ...
Information-Based Skill Scores for Probabilistic Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The information content, that is, the predictive capability, of a forecast system is often quantified with skill scores. This paper introduces two ranked mutual information skill (RMIS) scores, RMISO and RMISY, for the ...
A Second-Order Exact Ensemble Square Root Filter for Nonlinear Data Assimilation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and its deterministic variants, mostly square root filters such as the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF), represent a popular alternative to variational data assimilation schemes and ...
Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Processes in Climate Change Scenarios
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ndian summer monsoon rainfall was examined in two different greenhouse gas emission scenarios: the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES; B1) and a similar greenhouse gas scenario, the new representative concentration ...
Sampling Strategies for Mass‐Discharge Estimation
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: Methodology derived from sampling theory is presented for the estimation of in‐stream contaminant mass‐discharge or load. The historical record is stratified into relatively homogeneous units in order to approach normality ...
Enhancements in the Accuracy of the Center of Pressure (COP) Determined With Piezoelectric Force Plates Are Dependent on the Load Distribution
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: Errors up to ±30 mm in determining the COP with piezoelectric force plates have been reported in the literature. To compensate for these errors, correction formulas were proposed, based ...
A Comprehensive Radiation Scheme for Numerical Weather Prediction Models with Potential Applications in Climate Simulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A comprehensive scheme for the parameterization of radiative transfer in numerical weather Prediction (NWP) models has been developed. The scheme is based on the solution of the δ-two-stream version of the radiative transfer ...