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A New Operational System for Forecasting Precipitation Type
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new system is developed which gives conditional probability forecasts for three precipitation type categories: snow or sleet, freezing rain and rain. Also, the probability forecasts are transformed into categorical ...
Automated Guidance for Forecasting Snow Amount
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new system is developed which gives both conditional and unconditional probability of snow amount forecasts and categorical forecasts at stations for the 12?24 h period after both 0000 and 1200 GMT. To derive the new ...
The Objective Use of Upper Air Soundings to Specify Precipitation Type
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Linear screening regression is used to derive relationships between parameters computed from observed upper air soundings (RAOBS) and concurrent observations of precipitation type. Precipitation type is defined as three ...
Testing the Limited Area Fine Mesh Model for Probability of Precipitation Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Experimental objective forecasts of probability of precipitation (PoP) were made and verified for a large number of United States cities in order to make preliminary tests of the usefulness of the limited area fine mesh ...
Verification and Further Development of an Operational Model for Forecasting the Probability of Frozen Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An automated system for forecasting the conditional probability of frozen precipitation was put into operation by the National Weather Service in November 1972. The Model Output Statistics (MOS) concept was used to develop ...
Use of Model Output Statistics for Predicting Ceiling Height
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The model output statistics (MOS) technique consists of determining a statistical relationship between the forecast output of numerical prediction models and a predictand. This paper presents some results obtained in ...
An Improved Operational System for Forecasting Precipitation Type
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A Model Output Statistics system for forecasting the conditional probability of precipitation type (PoPT) became operational within the National Weather Service in September 1978. Forecasts are provided for three precipitation ...
Objective Estimation of the Conditional Probability of Frozen Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A system is developed which produces objective forecasts of conditional probability of frozen precipitation for the conterminous United States. Development of the system consists of two basic steps, in each of which the ...
Estimation of Saturation Thickness to Initialize the LAMP Moisture Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The relationship between precipitable water, W; 1000?500 mb thickness, h; station elevation, E, and observed precipitation was examined to obtain an equation to estimate saturation thickness. Radiosonde observations were ...