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Will Extratropical Storms Intensify in a Warmer Climate?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Extratropical cyclones and how they may change in a warmer climate have been investigated in detail with a high-resolution version of the ECHAM5 global climate model. A spectral resolution of T213 (63 km) is used for two ...
Storm Tracks and Climate Change
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Extratropical and tropical transient storm tracks are investigated from the perspective of feature tracking in the ECHAM5 coupled climate model for the current and a future climate scenario. The atmosphere-only part of the ...
A Possible Change in Mass Balance of Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets in the Coming Century
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A high-resolution GCM is found to simulate precipitation and surface energy balance of high latitudes with high accuracy. This opens new possibilities to investigate the future mass balance of polar glaciers and its effect ...
The Predictability of Extratropical Storm Tracks and the Sensitivity of Their Prediction to the Observing System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new method for assessing forecast skill and predictability that involves the identification and tracking of extratropical cyclones has been developed and implemented to obtain detailed information about the prediction ...
The Prediction of Extratropical Storm Tracks by the ECMWF and NCEP Ensemble Prediction Systems
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The prediction of extratropical cyclones by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) has been investigated ...
The Early Twentieth-Century Warming in the Arctic—A Possible Mechanism
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The huge warming of the Arctic that started in the early 1920s and lasted for almost two decades is one of the most spectacular climate events of the twentieth century. During the peak period 1930?40, the annually averaged ...
Impact of Duration Thresholds on Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Counts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Records of Atlantic basin tropical cyclones (TCs) since the late nineteenth century indicate a very large upward trend in storm frequency. This increase in documented TCs has been previously interpreted as resulting from ...
Projection of Global Wave Climate Change toward the End of the Twenty-First Century
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ind-generated waves at the sea surface are of outstanding importance for both their practical relevance in many aspects, such as coastal erosion, protection, or safety of navigation, and for their scientific relevance in ...
The Changing Energy Balance of the Polar Regions in a Warmer Climate
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: nergy fluxes for polar regions are examined for two 30-yr periods, representing the end of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries, using data from high-resolution simulations with the ECHAM5 climate model. The net radiation ...
The Use of GPS Measurements for Water Vapor Determination
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A workshop on the use of Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements in weather and climate with emphasis on water vapor determination, was organized by the National Environmental Research Council's (NERC) Environmental ...
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