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RISCan We Expect More Extreme Precipitation on the Monthly Time Scale?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Assessment Report states that instrumental records show an increase in precipitation by +0.5%?1% decade?1 in much of the Northern Hemisphere mid- and high latitudes ...
Empirically Downscaled Multimodel Ensemble Temperature and Precipitation Scenarios for Norway
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A number of different global climate model scenarios are used in order to infer local climate scenarios for various locations in Norway. Results from empirically downscaled multimodel ensembles of temperature and precipitation ...
A New Global Set of Downscaled Temperature Scenarios
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: new set of empirical?statistical downscaled seasonal mean temperature scenarios is presented for locations spread across all continents. These results are based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3) ...
Statistical Projection of the North Atlantic Storm Tracks
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractA method for empirical?statistical downscaling was adapted to project seasonal cyclone density over the North Atlantic Ocean. To this aim, the seasonal mean cyclone density was derived from instantaneous values of ...
Inconvenience versus Rationality: Reflections on Different Faces of Climate Contrarianism in Poland and Norway
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThere has been increasing scientific evidence related to climate change and its attribution, impacts, and possibilities of mitigation. Yet, climate contrarianism still persists. This paper concentrates on Poland ...
Evaluation of Empirical Statistical Downscaling Models’ Skill in Predicting Tanzanian Rainfall and Their Application in Providing Future Downscaled Scenarios
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rojections of three important seasonal rainfall parameters?total precipitation , wet-day mean and wet-day frequency ?considered to be relevant to crop agriculture were performed. Links between large-scale climate variables ...
Subsampling Impact on the Climate Change Signal over Poland Based on Simulations from Statistical and Dynamical Downscaling
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ABSTRACTMost impact studies using downscaled climate data as input assume that the selection of few global climate models (GCMs) representing the largest spread covers the likely range of future changes. This study shows ...
Performance of CMIP3 and CMIP5 GCMs to Simulate Observed Rainfall Characteristics over the Western Himalayan Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe western Himalayan region (WHR) was subject to a significant negative trend in the annual and monsoon rainfall during 1902?2005. Annual and seasonal rainfall change over the WHR of India was estimated using 22 ...
Observations of Supercooled Raindrops in New Mexico Summertime Cumuli
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Observations made in 1987 with the NCAR King Air aircraft and in 1993 with the New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology dual-polarization radar have revealed the presence of supercooled raindrops in some New Mexico ...
A hybrid downscaling approach for future temperature and precipitation change
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: We used empirical-statistical downscaling in a pseudo-reality context, where both large-scale predictors and small-scale predictands were based on climate model results. The large-scale conditions were taken from a global ...