Abstract: A revision to the Holland parametric approach to modeling the radial profile of winds in hurricanes is presented. The approach adopted uses information readily available from hurricane archives or in hurricane warning ...

Abstract: Recent work suggests that there may exist skill in forecasting tropical cyclones (TC) using dynamically based ensemble products, such as those obtained from the ECMWF Monthly Forecast System (ECMFS). The ECMFS features an ...

Abstract: his analysis examines the predictability of several key forecasting parameters using the ECMWF Variable Ensemble Prediction System (VarEPS) for tropical cyclones (TCs) in the North Indian Ocean (NIO) including tropical ...