Abstract: ariability of the equatorial East Africa ?short rains? (EASR) has intensified significantly since the turn of the twentieth century. This increase toward more extreme rainfall events has not been gradual but is strongly ...

Abstract: This paper explores merits of 100-ensemble simulations from a single dynamical seasonal prediction system by evaluating differences in skill scores between ensembles predictions with few (~10) and many (~100) ensemble ...

Abstract: otential sources of decadal climate variability over southern Africa are examined by conducting in-depth analysis of available datasets and coupled general circulation model (CGCM) experiments. The observational data in ...

Abstract: AbstractAn ensemble of 1-month-lead seasonal retrospective forecasts generated by the Scale Interaction Experiment (SINTEX)?Frontier Research Center for Global Change (FRCGC), version 2 tuned for performance on a vector ...

Abstract: eriods of low convective activity over southern Africa during the peak rainy season from December to February are known to be due to the northeastward displacement of the tropical temperate trough (TTT) systems from the ...

Abstract: Using a fully coupled global ocean?atmosphere general circulation model assimilating only sea surface temperature, the authors found for the first time that several El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events over the past ...

Abstract: Surface air temperature (SAT) over the globe, particularly the Northern Hemisphere continents, has rapidly risen over the last 2?3 decades, leading to an abrupt shift toward a warmer climate state after 1997/98. Whether ...

Abstract: he interannual variations in the summertime Mascarene high have great impacts on the southern African climate as well as the sea surface temperature (SST) in the southern Indian Ocean. A set of coupled general circulation ...

Abstract: redictability of a recently discovered regional coupled climate mode called the California Niño (Niña) off Baja California and California is explored using a seasonal prediction system based on the Scale Interaction ...