Abstract: Previous studies have shown that the raw combination (i.e., the combination of the direct output model without any postprocessing procedure) of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and Meteorological ...

Abstract: Bayesian model averaging (BMA) has recently been proposed as a way of correcting underdispersion in ensemble forecasts. BMA is a standard statistical procedure for combining predictive distributions from different sources. ...

Abstract: ynamical monthly prediction at the Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC) was produced as part of the seasonal forecasting system over the past two decades. A new monthly forecasting system, which has been in operation since ...