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An Empirical Method of Estimating Raingage and Radar Rainfall Measurement Bias and Resolution
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper presents new methods of estimating the bias and the resolution of radar and raingage area average rainfall measurements over a defined area when both devices are employed simultaneously. The bias of raingage ...
Correspondence among the Correlation, RMSE, and Heidke Forecast Verification Measures; Refinement of the Heidke Score
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The correspondence among the following three forecast verification scores, based on forecasts and their associated observations, is described: 1) the correlation score, 2) the root-mean-square error (RMSE) score, and 3) ...
Linear Statistical Short-Term Climate Predictive Skill in the Northern Hemisphere
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, the sources and strengths of statistical short-term climate predictability for local surface climate (temperature and precipitation) and 700-mb geopotential height in the Northern Hemisphere are explored at ...
Diverse Characteristics of U.S. Summer Heat Waves
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractHeat waves are climate extremes having significant environmental and social impacts. However, there is no universally accepted definition of a heat wave. The major goal of this study is to compare characteristics ...
Predictability of June–September Rainfall in Ethiopia
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In much of Ethiopia, similar to the Sahelian countries to its west, rainfall from June to September contributes the majority of the annual total, and is crucial to Ethiopia?s water resource and agriculture operations. ...
Long-Lead Forecasts of Seasonal Precipitation in the Tropical Pacific Islands Using CCA
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A potentially operational system for 3-month total precipitation forecasts for island stations in the tropical Pacific has been developed at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center using the statistical method of canonical ...
Skill of Canonical Correlation Analysis Forecasts of 3-Month Mean Surface Climate in Hawaii and Alaska
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Statistical short-term climate predictive skills and their sources for 3-month mean local surface climate (temperature and precipitation) in Hawaii and Alaska have been explored at lead times of up to one year using a ...
ENSO and the Spatial Extent of Interannual Precipitation Extremes in Tropical Land Areas
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The extreme phases of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are known to dominate the interannual variability of tropical rainfall. However, the relationship between ENSO and the spatial extent of drought and excessively wet ...
Skill of Seasonal Climate Forecasts in Canada Using Canonical Correlation Analysis
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An empirical system for forecasting 3-month mean surface temperature T and total precipitation P for Canada?canonical correlation analysis (CCA)?has been developed using the 1956?90 data period. The levels and sources of ...