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Monthly Forecast of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Using a Coupled GCM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A set of five-member ensemble forecasts initialized daily for 48 days during the Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere Coupled Ocean?Atmosphere Response Experiment period are performed with the ECMWF monthly forecasting system ...
How Predictability Depends on the Nature of Uncertainty in Initial Conditions in a Coupled Model of ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The predictability of any complex, inhomogeneous system depends critically on the definition of analysis and forecast errors. A simple and efficient singular vector analysis is used to study the predictability of a coupled ...