Abstract: A set of five-member ensemble forecasts initialized daily for 48 days during the Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere Coupled Ocean?Atmosphere Response Experiment period are performed with the ECMWF monthly forecasting system ...

Abstract: The relative merits of the Tropical Atmosphere?Ocean (TAO)/Triangle Trans-Ocean Buoy Network (TAO/TRITON) and Pilot Research Moored Array in the Tropical Atlantic mooring networks, the Voluntary Observing Ship (VOS) ...

Abstract: cle reviews past and current reanalysis activities at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and describes plans for developing future reanalyses of the coupled climate system. Global reanalyses of ...

Abstract: This study presents a new simple approach for combining empirical with raw (i.e., not bias corrected) coupled model ensemble forecasts in order to make more skillful interval forecasts of ENSO. A Bayesian normal model has ...

Abstract: The predictability of any complex, inhomogeneous system depends critically on the definition of analysis and forecast errors. A simple and efficient singular vector analysis is used to study the predictability of a coupled ...

Abstract: This study proposes an objective integrated seasonal forecasting system for producing well-calibrated probabilistic rainfall forecasts for South America. The proposed system has two components: (i) an empirical model that ...

Abstract: In this paper, the combined assimilation of satellite observed sea level anomalies and in situ temperature data into a global ocean model, which is used to initialize a coupled ocean?atmosphere forecast system, is described. ...