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Model Bias in a Continuously Cycled Assimilation System and Its Influence on Convection-Permitting Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: uring the spring 2011 season, a real-time continuously cycled ensemble data assimilation system using the Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) coupled with the Data Assimilation ...
Representing Forecast Error in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: nsembles provide an opportunity to greatly improve short-term prediction of local weather hazards, yet generating reliable predictions remain a significant challenge. In particular, convection-permitting ensemble forecast ...