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RISIntraseasonal Forecasting of the 2009 Summer and Winter Australian Heat Waves Using POAMA
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: xtreme heat waves occurred over much of southern and eastern Australia during the summer (27 January?8 February) and winter (14?31 August) of 2009. The summer heat wave resulted in many temperature records across southeastern ...
A Coupled GCM Analysis of MJO Activity at the Onset of El Niño
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The ocean dynamics of the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) and its interaction with El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are assessed using a flux-corrected coupled model experiment from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. ...
Seasonal Prediction of Thermal Stress Accumulation for Coral Bleaching in the Tropical Oceans
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Mass coral bleaching, associated with anomalously warm ocean temperatures over large regions, poses a serious threat to the future health of the world coral reef systems. Seasonal forecasts from coupled ocean?atmosphere ...
Contrasting El Niño–La Niña Predictability and Prediction Skill in 2-Year Reforecasts of the Twentieth Century
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Contrasting El Niño–La Niña Predictability and Prediction Skill in 2-Year Reforecasts of the Twentieth Century
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Forewarned is Forearmed: Extended-Range Forecast Guidance of Recent Extreme Heat Events in Australia
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: here has been increasing demand in Australia for extended-range forecasts of extreme heat events. An assessment is made of the subseasonal experimental guidance provided by the Bureau of Meteorology?s seasonal prediction ...