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RISVerifying and Redefining the Weather Prediction Center’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook Forecast Product
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
An Adaptive Approach for the Calculation of Ensemble Gridpoint Probabilities
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractTraditional ensemble probabilities are computed based on the number of members that exceed a threshold at a given point divided by the total number of members. This approach has been employed for many years in ...
The HMT Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor Hydro Experiment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: here are numerous challenges with the forecasting and detection of flash floods, one of the deadliest weather phenomena in the United States. Statistical metrics of flash flood warnings over recent years depict a generally ...
Evaluation of Convection-Permitting Precipitation Forecast Products Using WRF, NMMB, and FV3 for the 2016–17 NOAA Hydrometeorology Testbed Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall Experiments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractDuring the summers of 2016 and 2017, the Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms (CAPS) ran real-time storm-scale ensemble forecasts (SSEFs) in support of the Hydrometeorology Testbed (HMT) Flash Flood and ...
The 23 June 2016 West Virginia Flash Flood Event as Observed through Two Hydrometeorology Testbed Experiments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society