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contributor authorMing Lu
contributor authorS. M. AbouRizk
date accessioned2017-05-08T22:41:10Z
date available2017-05-08T22:41:10Z
date copyrightMay 2000
date issued2000
identifier other%28asce%290733-9364%282000%29126%3A3%28219%29.pdf
identifier urihttp://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl/handle/yetl/86412
description abstractFormal stochastic simulation study has been recognized as a remedy for the shortcomings inherent to classic critical path method (CPM) project evaluation and review technique (PERT) analysis. An accurate and efficient method of identifying critical activities is essential for conducting PERT simulation. This paper discusses the derivation of a PERT simulation model, which incorporates the discrete event modeling approach and a simplified critical activity identification method. This has been done in an attempt to overcome the limitations and enhance the computing efficiency of classic CPM/PERT analysis. A case study was conducted to validate the developed model and compare it to classic CPM/PERT analysis. The developed model showed marked enhancement in analyzing the risk of project schedule overrun and determination of activity criticality. In addition, the beta distribution and its subjective fitting methods are discussed to complement the PERT simulation model. This new solution to CPM network analysis can provide project management with a convenient tool to assess alternative scenarios based on computer simulation and risk analysis.
publisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers
titleSimplified CPM/PERT Simulation Model
typeJournal Paper
journal volume126
journal issue3
journal titleJournal of Construction Engineering and Management
identifier doi10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2000)126:3(219)
treeJournal of Construction Engineering and Management:;2000:;Volume ( 126 ):;issue: 003
contenttypeFulltext


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